Plan — Adaptive Training

Building toward

A Lost Coast Gravel Ultra gravel ultra · Jan 24, 2027

Days out

166

Target CTL

95–115

Achievable

115.0

Target CTL band 95–115 · achievable on your hours 115.0 reaches the band

Races: Lost Coast Gravel Ultra (Jan 24, 27)

Gaps to your goal — Lost Coast Gravel Ultra · 23 wk out · demand vs your measured curve

Where the race asks for more than you currently hold. The biggest demand-weighted gap sets this block's focus — nothing is hand-picked.

Your capability (measured) Race demand

Ranked gaps · demand-weighted

Durability
late-ride fatigue resistance

late-ride power-hold demanded

Endurance
aerobic base · CTL

CTL 64 vs 95
-33%

This block's focus → Durability Demand profile: type default — edit and this whole panel re-ranks.

Green = projected CTL (band = demand target). Oxblood = projected TSB (grey band = race window, red dashed = overreach floor). Vertical = races — load bends to land each at its TSB target (taper = TSB targeting, no taper block).

Next 7 days

Day	TSB	Category	Workout	Load	+Z2	Total	Min
Tue Aug 11	+3	endurance	Z2 Base 90	70.0	—	70.0	90
Wed Aug 12	+2	endurance	run Long Run 75	74.2	—	74.2	75
Thu Aug 13	+0	endurance	Z2 Base 90	70.0	—	70.0	90
Fri Aug 14	-1	endurance	run Long Run 75	74.2	—	74.2	75
Sat Aug 15	-2	durability	Endurance + Late Threshold	146.0	+2.3	148.3	167
Sun Aug 16	-11	sweet spot	3x15 Sweet Spot	112.0	+38.2	150.2	134
Mon Aug 17	-18	endurance	Z2 Base 90	66.0	—	66.0	90

Weekly — load + mix

Week of	Load	Intense	Mix	CTL	TSB
Aug 10, 26	595	1	durability, sweet spot	68.8	-10.7
Aug 17, 26	596	1	durability, sweet spot	71.4	-13.8
Aug 24, 26	613	1	durability, sweet spot	74.1	-13.9
Aug 31, 26	630	1	durability, sweet spot	76.7	-13.9
Sep 07, 26	656	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	79.5	-14.1
Sep 14, 26	673	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	82.2	-13.9
Sep 21, 26	691	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	84.9	-13.8
Sep 28, 26	708	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	87.6	-13.6
Oct 05, 26	725	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	90.2	-13.5
Oct 12, 26	742	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	92.8	-13.3
Oct 19, 26	755	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	95.3	-13.6
Oct 26, 26	769	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	97.8	-13.8
Nov 02, 26	783	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	100.1	-13.8
Nov 09, 26	798	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	102.5	-13.7
Nov 16, 26	813	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	104.8	-13.6
Nov 23, 26	827	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	107.1	-13.5
Nov 30, 26	842	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	109.3	-13.4
Dec 07, 26	856	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	111.6	-13.2
Dec 14, 26	870	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	113.8	-13.1
Dec 21, 26	846	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	115.1	-10.6
Dec 28, 26	764	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	114.3	-5.7
Jan 04, 27	647	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	111.1	+7.1
Jan 11, 27	647	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	108.5	+10.2
Jan 18, 27	647	2	sweet spot, durability, sweet spot	106.2	+10.0

Races & goals

the A-race is what the season plan periodizes toward

	Race	When	Type	Duration	Target CTL	Out
B	Twilight Crit Series	Sep 27, 2026	criterium	~1.2h	70–85	47d
B	Riverside Half Marathon	Oct 25, 2026	run half	~1.8h	72–92	75d
C	Skyline Gran Fondo	Nov 15, 2026	gran fondo	~5.0h	90–110	96d
A	Lost Coast Gravel Ultra	Jan 24, 2027	gravel ultra	~9.0h	95–115	166d

Add a race

The type picks the demand profile that shapes the plan; the demand levers fine-tune it per race (blank = type default): dur h = expected race duration (a 100k vs a 350k build different long rides), durab = durability emphasis 0–1, CTL lo/hi = the fitness band the season plan ramps toward.